Strategic Operations Redesign
ID: 3671469-40
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$1
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
112
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Sustainability
Opportunity Sub-SL
CCaSS
Competency
CCaSS - ESG and Sustainability
Global Service Code
Budget Advisory - CorpFin (98734)
Partner
Smith Jason
Pursuit Leader
Schneider Deborah
Open Date
Jan 21, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
May 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Strategic Operations Redesign
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
68.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
68.1%
Model A: Planning
14.3%
Model B: Early Signal
9.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
14.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record.