PursuePast Due

Critical Compliance Advisory - Extension

ID: 3645044-10

Potential Value

$1,148,340

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

804

Client & Account

Client

Global Cooperative

City

Cape Town

Region

Africa India

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Scott Catherine

Pursuit Leader

Sanders Cynthia

Open Date

Feb 29, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 17, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Compliance Advisory - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

64.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$521,520

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.430
Service sub-line track record
-0.271
Opportunity business unit
+0.271

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

64.0%

Model A: Planning

71.0%

Model B: Early Signal

12.3%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

71.0%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
+1.107
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.106
Lead sales credit %
-0.849

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (71%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

12.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.802
Service sub-line track record
-0.685
Deal size
-0.538

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.