IdentifyPast Due

Optimized Operations Engagement - Renewal

ID: 1904653-20

Potential Value

$90,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

650

Client & Account

Client

Nova Municipal Development

City

Cairo

Region

MENA

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Jimenez Emma

Pursuit Leader

Bernard Joshua

Open Date

Aug 1, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Operations Engagement - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

71.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$34,205

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.589
Service sub-line track record
-0.335
Opportunity region track record
+0.321

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

71.6%

Model A: Planning

53.1%

Model B: Early Signal

11.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

53.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.105
Deal age (days since open)
+0.911
Lead sales credit %
-0.820

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.665
Service sub-line track record
-0.535
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.451

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).