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High-Impact Risk Management Transformation (Amended)

ID: 1389688-40

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

258

Client & Account

Client

Allied Maritime Group

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Healthcare Strategy (58866)

People & Dates

Partner

Smith Barbara

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Aug 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Risk Management Transformation (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

92.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.813
Work type
+0.741
Opportunity business unit
+0.396

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

92.7%

Model A: Planning

92.3%

Model B: Early Signal

92.3%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.652
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.594
Recurring/additional sale
+0.755

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.863
Recurring/additional sale
+0.593
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.514

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.