Pursue60-90 Days

Modernized Inclusion & Diversity Assessment

ID: 2965255-40

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$200,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

938

Client & Account

Client

Marble Civic Development

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (89360)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Oct 18, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Inclusion & Diversity Assessment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

57.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.626
Opportunity business unit
+0.481
Deal size vs service line median
-0.351

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

57.8%

Model A: Planning

45.1%

Model B: Early Signal

16.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

45.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.479
Lead sales credit %
-0.780
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.748

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (45%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

16.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.618
Sub-sector track record
-0.457
Service sub-line track record
-0.430

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.