Pursue60-90 Days

Enterprise Digital Transformation Renewal (Revised)

ID: 4667035-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$300,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

917

Client & Account

Client

Marble Civic Development

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Nov 8, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Digital Transformation Renewal (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.619
Service sub-line track record
-0.476
Deal size vs service line median
-0.340

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.6%

Model A: Planning

45.4%

Model B: Early Signal

15.2%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

45.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.539
Lead sales credit %
-0.773
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.770

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (45%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

15.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.642
Service sub-line track record
-0.521
Sub-sector track record
-0.382

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.