Optimized Technology Modernization Automation - FY25
ID: 6347593-10
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$200,000
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
938
Client
Marble Civic Development
Account
Beta Infrastructure Holdings
City
Philadelphia
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Blockchain Advisory (85634)
Partner
Aguilar Jean-Paul
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Olivia
Open Date
Oct 18, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Technology Modernization Automation - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
57.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
57.8%
Model A: Planning
45.1%
Model B: Early Signal
16.8%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
45.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (45%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
16.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.