IdentifyOver 90 Days

Core Performance Management Platform

ID: 7063292-40

Potential Value

$650,000

Deal Value

$5,000,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1947

Client & Account

Client

Omega Security Solutions

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Finance Transformation, Strategy & Vision

Global Service Code

Policy Development (30982)

People & Dates

Partner

Torres Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Garcia Sophie

Open Date

Jan 12, 2021

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Performance Management Platform

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

73.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$304,349

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.663
Renewal pursuit
+0.587
Service sub-line track record
-0.382

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

73.5%

Model A: Planning

63.7%

Model B: Early Signal

56.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

63.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.347
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.304
Lead sales credit %
-0.713

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (64%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

56.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.982
Renewal pursuit
+0.599
Service sub-line track record
-0.565

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (56%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.