QualifyPast Due

Critical Operations Architecture

ID: 1180102-20

Potential Value

$350,350

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

474

Client & Account

Client

Optima Authority

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Feng

Pursuit Leader

Johansen Dieter

Open Date

Jan 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 8, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Operations Architecture

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

86.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$293,746

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.709
Non-recurring work
+0.690
Account business unit
+0.381

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

86.7%

Model A: Planning

96.8%

Model B: Early Signal

92.4%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.704
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.607
Recurring/additional sale
+0.695

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.151
Recurring/additional sale
+0.563
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.548

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.