Identify60-90 Days

Innovative Cost Optimization Engagement

ID: 5707519-10

Potential Value

$2,700,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

97

Client & Account

Client

Zenith Energy Institute

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Morgan Karen

Pursuit Leader

Romero Debra

Open Date

Feb 5, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Cost Optimization Engagement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

54.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$241,975

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.576
Service sub-line track record
-0.566
Deal size
+0.445

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

54.6%

Model A: Planning

16.4%

Model B: Early Signal

5.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

16.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.232
Service sub-line track record
-0.909
Lead sales credit %
-0.659

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.870
Deal size
-0.574
Service sub-line track record
-0.553

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.