IdentifyPast Due

Automated ERP Implementation Solution (Revised)

ID: 9603804-20

Potential Value

$295,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

407

Client & Account

Client

Compass Board

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Service Design (61923)

People & Dates

Partner

Weber Yuki

Pursuit Leader

Takahashi Samuel

Open Date

Apr 1, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Automated ERP Implementation Solution (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

44.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$114,331

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.617
Service sub-line track record
-0.497
Opportunity business unit
+0.413

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

44.4%

Model A: Planning

87.2%

Model B: Early Signal

67.5%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

87.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.518
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.443
Lead sales credit %
-0.799

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

67.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.195
Service sub-line track record
-0.449
Market segment
-0.426

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (68%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.