IdentifyOver 90 Days

Modernized Change Management Review - Extension

ID: 2928143-40

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

92

Client & Account

Client

Trailblazer Research Innovations

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Internal Audit Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)

People & Dates

Partner

Larsen Janet

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Elizabeth

Open Date

Feb 10, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Change Management Review - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

76.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$71,023

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.840
Renewal pursuit
+0.390
Service sub-line track record
-0.329

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

76.5%

Model A: Planning

92.8%

Model B: Early Signal

79.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.349
Lead sales credit %
-0.881
Deal age (days since open)
-0.772

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

79.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.831
Renewal pursuit
+0.501
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.427

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: currency (usd vs other).