IdentifyOver 90 Days

Intelligent Business Intelligence Framework

ID: 8203260-40

Potential Value

$30,000,000

Deal Value

$30,000,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

883

Client & Account

Client

Foundation Strategic Resources

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Nelson Robert

Pursuit Leader

Jansen Andrew

Open Date

Dec 12, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 1, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Intelligent Business Intelligence Framework

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

31.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$4,166,293

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.546
Service sub-line track record
-0.477
US Federal business unit
-0.359

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

31.6%

Model A: Planning

44.0%

Model B: Early Signal

5.9%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

44.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.440
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.111
Deal size vs service line median
-0.700

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (44%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.829
Deal size vs service line median
-0.633
Service sub-line track record
-0.626

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.