Advanced Technology Modernization Phase II - Renewal
ID: 6869867-10
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
181
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Data Analytics (36847)
Partner
Reyes Karen
Pursuit Leader
Bakker Lars
Open Date
Nov 13, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Technology Modernization Phase II - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
52.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$76,344
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
52.9%
Model A: Planning
28.9%
Model B: Early Signal
7.2%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.