Agile Risk Management Phase III - FY26
ID: 1398373-30
Potential Value
$129,960
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
70%
Days in Pipeline
112
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Sustainability
Opportunity Sub-SL
CCaSS
Competency
CCaSS - Climate and decarbonization
Global Service Code
Forensic Analysis (58897)
Partner
Hughes Jean
Pursuit Leader
Coleman Feng
Open Date
Jan 21, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 28, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Agile Risk Management Phase III - FY26
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
65.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$14,661
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
65.4%
Model A: Planning
17.3%
Model B: Early Signal
4.7%
Stated Probability
70%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
17.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record.