Adaptive Procurement Renewal - FY26
ID: 3992462-20
Potential Value
-$15,000
Deal Value
-$15,000
Stated Probability
100%
Days in Pipeline
93
Service Line
CBS & Elim
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
ITTS (Elim)
Competency
ITTS - ITTS Advisory (Elim)
Global Service Code
Manufacturing Advisory - Operations (57275)
Partner
Gray Maria
Pursuit Leader
Nakamura André
Open Date
Feb 9, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 27, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Procurement Renewal - FY26
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
81.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$11,053
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
81.5%
Model A: Planning
90.4%
Model B: Early Signal
41.1%
Stated Probability
100%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
90.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: service sub-line track record. Factors working against: market segment, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
41.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working in favor: service sub-line track record. Factors working against: account business unit, market segment.