Predictive Operations Extension
ID: 5382443-50
Potential Value
$220,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
118
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
Organization & Workforce Transformation
Global Service Code
Portfolio Oversight (50069)
Partner
Brown Judy
Pursuit Leader
Sharma Kevin
Open Date
Jan 15, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 10, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Operations Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
68.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$28,731
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
68.4%
Model A: Planning
19.1%
Model B: Early Signal
13.3%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
19.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
13.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.