IdentifyPast Due

Predictive Regulatory Reporting Phase I - Extension

ID: 3823878-20

Potential Value

$3,200

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

176

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Services

City

Frankfurt

Region

Europe West

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Supply Chain & Operations

Opportunity Sub-SL

Supply Chain & Operations´

Competency

Supply Chain Managed Services

Global Service Code

Business Continuity - Implementation (83591)

People & Dates

Partner

Jansen Pierre

Pursuit Leader

Cook Natalie

Open Date

Nov 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Regulatory Reporting Phase I - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

49.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,252

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.559
Opportunity business unit
+0.393
Consulting service line indicator
-0.369

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

49.5%

Model A: Planning

79.0%

Model B: Early Signal

58.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.089
Lead sales credit %
-0.798
Deal age (days since open)
-0.786

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (79%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

58.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.554
Account business unit
-0.472
Market segment
-0.458

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (58%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), account business unit, market segment.