Adaptive Program Management Enhancement - Renewal
ID: 3477953-30
Potential Value
$33,727
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
55%
Days in Pipeline
169
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Global Business Services
Global Service Code
Grant Management (35413)
Partner
Williams Larry
Pursuit Leader
Clark Diego
Open Date
Nov 25, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 16, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Program Management Enhancement - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
51.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$8,926
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
51.7%
Model A: Planning
51.1%
Model B: Early Signal
44.7%
Stated Probability
55%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
51.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
44.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (45%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.