Integrated Supply Chain Engagement - FY25
ID: 4994239-10
Potential Value
$400,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
699
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Customer & Growth
Opportunity Sub-SL
Customer & Growth
Competency
Customer Experience
Global Service Code
Product Strategy - SellSep (80328)
Partner
Romero Susan
Pursuit Leader
Martin Angela
Open Date
Jun 13, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Integrated Supply Chain Engagement - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
43.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$111,946
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
43.0%
Model A: Planning
65.1%
Model B: Early Signal
9.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
65.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (65%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.