QualifyOver 90 Days

Innovative Cybersecurity Framework

ID: 4736185-20

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

699

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Lopez Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Jun 13, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Cybersecurity Framework

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.546
Service sub-line track record
-0.384
US Federal business unit
-0.374

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.0%

Model A: Planning

41.8%

Model B: Early Signal

13.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

41.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.376
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.858
Service sub-line track record
-0.756

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.777
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.584
Market segment
-0.358

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.