IdentifyOver 90 Days

Digital Digital Transformation Transformation

ID: 2321361-40

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1947

Client & Account

Client

Omega Security Solutions

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

FAAS

Competency

FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics

Global Service Code

Trade Compliance (85330)

People & Dates

Partner

Torres Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Garcia Sophie

Open Date

Jan 12, 2021

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Digital Transformation Transformation

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

55.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.656
Service sub-line track record
-0.554
Opportunity business unit
+0.393

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

55.7%

Model A: Planning

72.0%

Model B: Early Signal

53.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

72.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.298
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.165
Deal age (days since open)
-0.738

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

53.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.787
Service sub-line track record
-0.532
Renewal pursuit
+0.505

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.