ClosingPast Due

Next-Gen Risk Management Workshop - Phase 2

ID: 6225119-40

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

225

Client & Account

Client

Falcon Infrastructure Global

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Automation Advisory (58347)

People & Dates

Partner

Gupta Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Brooks Karen

Open Date

Sep 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 9, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Next-Gen Risk Management Workshop - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

82.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.693
Opportunity business unit
+0.523
Sub-sector track record
+0.370

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

82.0%

Model A: Planning

72.4%

Model B: Early Signal

55.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

72.4%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
-1.111
Lead sales credit %
-0.722
Field of play track record
+0.701

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working in favor: field of play track record. Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

55.2%

Key Drivers

Sub-sector track record
+0.565
Service sub-line track record
-0.512
Market segment
-0.498

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (55%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.