Identify30-60 Days

Automated Business Intelligence Scale-Up

ID: 3381493-20

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

632

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

HR Transformation

Global Service Code

Asset Recovery (63713)

People & Dates

Partner

Lopez Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Patricia

Open Date

Aug 19, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Automated Business Intelligence Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

8.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

US Federal business unit
-0.471
Work type
+0.446
Deal size
-0.386

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

8.1%

Model A: Planning

42.6%

Model B: Early Signal

13.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

42.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.077
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.970
Deal age (days since open)
+0.891

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (43%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.788
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.584
Market segment
-0.344

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.