IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Global Stakeholder Engagement Redesign (Revised)

ID: 5108148-20

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$8,666,667

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

806

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)

People & Dates

Partner

Torres Alexis

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Feb 27, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Global Stakeholder Engagement Redesign (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

20.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$275,669

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.519
Work type
+0.494
US Federal business unit
-0.316

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

20.2%

Model A: Planning

68.1%

Model B: Early Signal

9.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

68.1%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
+1.136
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.051
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.905

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (68%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.875
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.782
Market segment
-0.459

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.