ClosingOver 90 Days

Integrated Cloud Migration Pilot

ID: 8060883-10

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

516

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Transactions

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Buy & Integrate

Global Service Code

Resource Planning (81634)

People & Dates

Partner

Nguyen Kenneth

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Dec 13, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Cloud Migration Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

60.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$58,831

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.552
Opportunity business unit
+0.459
Account track record
-0.231

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

60.5%

Model A: Planning

38.9%

Model B: Early Signal

5.2%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

38.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.706
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.191
Lead sales credit %
-0.646

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (39%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.946
Market segment
-0.508
Service sub-line track record
-0.478

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment, service sub-line track record.