IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Accelerated Inclusion & Diversity Redesign

ID: 4379769-20

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$4,333,333

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

806

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)

People & Dates

Partner

Torres Alexis

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Feb 27, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Inclusion & Diversity Redesign

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

23.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$133,609

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.496
Work type
+0.468
Account track record
-0.314

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

23.9%

Model A: Planning

55.8%

Model B: Early Signal

5.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

55.8%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
+1.129
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.080
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.865

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (56%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.869
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.760
Deal size vs service line median
-0.468

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.