QualifyOver 90 Days

Foundational Performance Management Deployment

ID: 7316445-30

Potential Value

$13,000,000

Deal Value

$130,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

231

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Torres Alexis

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Sep 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Performance Management Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

21.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$400,186

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.548
Work type
+0.506
US Federal business unit
-0.381

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

21.9%

Model A: Planning

14.1%

Model B: Early Signal

2.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.480
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.232
Deal size vs service line median
-1.021

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.8%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-1.048
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.946
Service sub-line track record
-0.518

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.