Innovative Tax Reform Pilot
ID: 2924551-50
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$1,000,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
580
Client
Lunar Agricultural Foundation
Account
Global Social Innovations
City
Boston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Becker Priya
Pursuit Leader
Turner Jennifer
Open Date
Oct 10, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Tax Reform Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
92.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$860,050
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
92.3%
Model A: Planning
93.2%
Model B: Early Signal
84.6%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
93.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
84.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (85%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), opportunitytype additional sales opportunity, recurring/additional sale.