Qualify60-90 Days

Enhanced Market Entry Optimization

ID: 4339916-30

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

561

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Finance Transformation, Strategy & Vision

Global Service Code

Policy Development (30982)

People & Dates

Partner

Carter Magnus

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Oct 29, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enhanced Market Entry Optimization

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

20.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$94,039

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.531
Service sub-line track record
-0.518
Non-recurring work
-0.272

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

20.4%

Model A: Planning

92.0%

Model B: Early Signal

63.3%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.459
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.051
Lead sales credit %
-0.867

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

63.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.103
Service sub-line track record
-0.470
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.404

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).