ClosingWithin 30 Days

Proactive Cloud Migration Deployment (Amended)

ID: 9463755-40

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$250,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

520

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Vendor Management (46955)

People & Dates

Partner

Nguyen Kenneth

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Dec 9, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Cloud Migration Deployment (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

42.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$43,236

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.588
Work type
+0.525
Opportunity business unit
+0.447

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

42.4%

Model A: Planning

40.8%

Model B: Early Signal

5.3%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

40.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.186
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.090
Deal age (days since open)
+0.876

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.905
Service sub-line track record
-0.543
Deal size vs service line median
-0.486

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.