ClosingWithin 30 Days

Global Service Delivery Roadmap - Phase 2

ID: 1315733-30

Potential Value

-$250,000

Deal Value

-$250,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

520

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

CBS & Elim

Field of Play

Transactions

Opportunity Sub-SL

ITTS (Elim)

Competency

ITTS Transactions Related (Elim)

Global Service Code

Supply Chain Optimization (54614)

People & Dates

Partner

Nguyen Kenneth

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Dec 9, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Global Service Delivery Roadmap - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

72.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$74,978

Key Triage Drivers

Opportunity business unit
+0.610
Work type
+0.604
Service sub-line track record
+0.551

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

72.5%

Model A: Planning

41.3%

Model B: Early Signal

6.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

41.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.319
Market segment
-0.996
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.981

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.5%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-0.812
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.734
Market segment
-0.688

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.