ClosingWithin 30 Days

Foundational Procurement Initiative - Pilot

ID: 6503942-10

Potential Value

$198,000

Deal Value

$250,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

477

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Vendor Management (46955)

People & Dates

Partner

Nguyen Kenneth

Pursuit Leader

Davis Marcel

Open Date

Jan 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Procurement Initiative - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

35.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$55,735

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.586
Work type
+0.550
Opportunity business unit
+0.418

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

35.3%

Model A: Planning

79.8%

Model B: Early Signal

57.2%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.455
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.446
Lead sales credit %
-0.700

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

57.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.148
Deal size vs service line median
-0.480
Market segment
-0.426

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (57%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.