IdentifyPast Due

Responsive Revenue Assurance Proof of Concept - Extension

ID: 2339916-10

Potential Value

$480,500

Deal Value

$2,165,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

82

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Corporation

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Amit

Pursuit Leader

Nelson Lori

Open Date

Feb 20, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Revenue Assurance Proof of Concept - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

53.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$248,982

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.619
Renewal pursuit
+0.538
Service sub-line track record
-0.423

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

53.7%

Model A: Planning

96.5%

Model B: Early Signal

70.8%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+2.023
Lead sales credit %
-0.876
Market segment
-0.582

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

70.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.074
Renewal pursuit
+0.567
Service sub-line track record
-0.488

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (71%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.