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Optimized Sustainability Phase III - FY26

ID: 2422808-30

Potential Value

$600,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1178

Client & Account

Client

Atlas Resources

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Disaster Recovery (42200)

People & Dates

Partner

Turner Benjamin

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Andrew

Open Date

Feb 20, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 16, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Sustainability Phase III - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

43.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$106,834

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.590
Service sub-line track record
-0.494
Opportunity business unit
+0.466

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

43.0%

Model A: Planning

41.4%

Model B: Early Signal

5.7%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

41.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.430
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.985
Lead sales credit %
-0.780

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.843
Service sub-line track record
-0.597
Market segment
-0.425

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.