QualifyOver 90 Days

Modernized Change Management Architecture - FY26

ID: 1219529-40

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

217

Client & Account

Client

Foundation Strategic Resources

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Walker Melissa

Pursuit Leader

Price Victoria

Open Date

Oct 8, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 23, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Change Management Architecture - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

95.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$457,335

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.741
Work type
+0.738
Recurring/additional sale
+0.565

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

95.1%

Model A: Planning

96.2%

Model B: Early Signal

91.4%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.694
Lead sales credit %
-0.796
Recurring/additional sale
+0.691

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (96%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

91.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.007
Recurring/additional sale
+0.491
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.470

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: currency (usd vs other).