Predictive Technology Modernization Roadmap - FY25
ID: 4513018-10
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
203
Client
Foundation Strategic Resources
Account
Lion Strategic Federation
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Discovery & Analytics
Global Service Code
Capacity Building (31200)
Partner
Nelson Robert
Pursuit Leader
Jansen Andrew
Open Date
Oct 22, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 11, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Technology Modernization Roadmap - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
47.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$81,538
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
47.0%
Model A: Planning
17.3%
Model B: Early Signal
4.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
17.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.