Predictive Risk Management Platform (Revised)
ID: 4268578-20
Potential Value
$10,000,000
Deal Value
$10,000,000
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
180
Client
Foundation Strategic Resources
Account
Lion Strategic Federation
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Edwards Sandra
Pursuit Leader
Ortiz Amber
Open Date
Nov 14, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Risk Management Platform (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
32.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$519,017
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
32.9%
Model A: Planning
15.8%
Model B: Early Signal
4.6%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
15.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.