Identify60-90 Days

Optimized Operations Scale-Up

ID: 1533192-30

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

560

Client & Account

Client

Pacific Technical Institute

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Scott

Pursuit Leader

Morris Elizabeth

Open Date

Oct 30, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Operations Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

38.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$627,975

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.709
Deal size (log scale)
-0.356
Service sub-line track record
-0.227

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

38.0%

Model A: Planning

33.1%

Model B: Early Signal

3.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

33.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.178
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.174
Deal age (days since open)
+0.780

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (33%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.828
Deal size
-0.577
Service sub-line track record
-0.554

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.