QualifyWithin 30 Days

Agile Program Management Migration

ID: 5861581-10

Potential Value

$190,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

1202

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Public Consulting

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Sustainability

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Data Analytics - Review (64993)

People & Dates

Partner

Sullivan Lauren

Pursuit Leader

Torres Gary

Open Date

Jan 27, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Program Management Migration

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

83.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$134,207

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.759
Opportunity business unit
+0.430
Renewal pursuit
+0.331

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

83.9%

Model A: Planning

84.2%

Model B: Early Signal

60.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

84.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.324
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.171
Lead sales credit %
-0.917

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

60.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.009
Service sub-line track record
-0.733
Renewal pursuit
+0.585

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (60%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.