Critical Program Management Phase III
ID: 2745330-20
Potential Value
$3,800,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
204
Client
Foundation Strategic Resources
Account
Lion Strategic Federation
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics
Global Service Code
Internal Controls - Management (52177)
Partner
Wright Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Müller Kathleen
Open Date
Oct 21, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 15, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical Program Management Phase III
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
42.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$416,974
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
42.0%
Model A: Planning
26.1%
Model B: Early Signal
4.9%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
26.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.