IdentifyOver 90 Days

Accelerated Workforce Planning Framework - Renewal

ID: 3708195-40

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

397

Client & Account

Client

Onyx Agricultural Resources

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Leadership Development - Transformation (88854)

People & Dates

Partner

Tanaka Edward

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Andrew

Open Date

Apr 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Workforce Planning Framework - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

61.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$144,941

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.667
Service sub-line track record
-0.397
Opportunity business unit
+0.354

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

61.5%

Model A: Planning

11.8%

Model B: Early Signal

2.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

11.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.923
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.295
Deal size vs service line median
-0.939

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.894
Deal size vs service line median
-0.821
Service sub-line track record
-0.640

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.