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Enterprise Procurement Extension - Renewal

ID: 7869931-20

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$5,000,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1199

Client & Account

Client

Silver Regional Board

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Müller Sara

Pursuit Leader

Ross Natalie

Open Date

Jan 30, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 17, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Procurement Extension - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

23.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$215,758

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.637
Service sub-line track record
-0.484
Deal size (log scale)
-0.398

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

23.2%

Model A: Planning

37.3%

Model B: Early Signal

5.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.449
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.986
Lead sales credit %
-0.775

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.872
Service sub-line track record
-0.654
Deal size
-0.544

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.