Core Procurement Transformation - Phase 2
ID: 7893551-20
Potential Value
$31,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
992
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
ITTS (in SaT)
Competency
ITTS Advisory (in SaT)
Global Service Code
Logistics Planning (40410)
Partner
Meyer Olivier
Pursuit Leader
Wang Evelyn
Open Date
Aug 25, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 18, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Core Procurement Transformation - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
72.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$10,447
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
72.7%
Model A: Planning
46.4%
Model B: Early Signal
20.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
46.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (46%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
20.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment, account business unit.