Advanced Program Management Scale-Up
ID: 8551143-10
Potential Value
$1,500,000
Deal Value
$1,500,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
204
Client
Foundation Strategic Resources
Account
Lion Strategic Federation
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Internal Audit Transformation
Global Service Code
Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)
Partner
Wright Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Müller Kathleen
Open Date
Oct 21, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Program Management Scale-Up
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
23.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$102,062
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
23.6%
Model A: Planning
28.9%
Model B: Early Signal
8.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.