ClosingPast Due

Holistic Tax Reform Assessment - Phase 3

ID: 9078152-20

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$2,480,064

Stated Probability

85%

Days in Pipeline

919

Client & Account

Client

Foundation Strategic Resources

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Yang Marie

Pursuit Leader

Hernandez Jason

Open Date

Nov 6, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Tax Reform Assessment - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

11.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$234,165

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.714
Work type
+0.509
Deal size (log scale)
-0.363

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

11.7%

Model A: Planning

80.4%

Model B: Early Signal

48.2%

Stated Probability

85%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

80.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.700
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.201
Lead sales credit %
-0.841

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

48.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.092
Service sub-line track record
-0.440
Lead sales credit %
-0.421

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (48%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.