Global Supply Chain Consolidation
ID: 4280123-30
Potential Value
$70,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
113
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Rodriguez William
Pursuit Leader
Turner Eric
Open Date
Jan 20, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Global Supply Chain Consolidation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
61.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$11,408
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
61.0%
Model A: Planning
26.7%
Model B: Early Signal
10.9%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
26.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
10.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).