Optimized Talent Strategy Strategy (Amended)
ID: 7703215-20
Potential Value
$900,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
160
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Identity Management - Compliance (62617)
Partner
Alvarez Andrea
Pursuit Leader
Lee Pamela
Open Date
Dec 4, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 27, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Talent Strategy Strategy (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
70.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$149,403
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
70.4%
Model A: Planning
23.6%
Model B: Early Signal
3.5%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
23.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.