ClosingWithin 30 Days

End-to-End Asset Management Deployment - Phase 2

ID: 1713189-30

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

937

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Government Development

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramos Akira

Pursuit Leader

Clark Catherine

Open Date

Oct 19, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Asset Management Deployment - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

72.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.683
Opportunity business unit
+0.478
Deal size
+0.297

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

72.7%

Model A: Planning

53.6%

Model B: Early Signal

18.8%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

53.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.657
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.803
Lead sales credit %
-0.774

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

18.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.611
Sub-sector track record
-0.423
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.392

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, currency (usd vs other).