PursueOver 90 Days

Enterprise Cybersecurity Phase I - Pilot

ID: 4038250-10

Potential Value

$23,175

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

60%

Days in Pipeline

943

Client & Account

Client

Sigma Financial Network

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Internal Controls (50733)

People & Dates

Partner

Flores Lars

Pursuit Leader

Edwards Victoria

Open Date

Oct 13, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Cybersecurity Phase I - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

90.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$20,103

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.706
Service sub-line track record
+0.501
Opportunity business unit
+0.454

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

90.2%

Model A: Planning

96.2%

Model B: Early Signal

87.2%

Stated Probability

60%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.093
Lead sales credit %
-0.828
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.803

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (96%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

87.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.565
Market segment
-0.547
Account business unit
-0.466

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.